Moving Average
XRP saw a decrease of over 4% in the last 24 hours, leading the decline among major cryptocurrencies as the overall market slows down following last week’s significant rally. Bitcoin is...
Read moreXRP saw a decrease of over 4% in the last 24 hours, leading the decline among major cryptocurrencies as the overall market slows down following last week’s significant rally. Bitcoin is currently above $104,000, and traders are anticipating a steady increase beyond $105,000, which is now a key psychological and technical resistance level.
The total market capitalization of the crypto market dropped by 2% to $3.3 trillion, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) are also pausing near their 200-day moving averages, indicating a possible period of consolidation or a short-term pullback.
Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro’s chief market analyst, noted that Bitcoin has been gradually forming a peak over the past week, usually a sign that a correction is imminent. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index slightly decreased from 73 to 70, remaining in the “greed” territory but showing a decrease in momentum.
According to Augustine Fan from SignalPlus, the markets may continue to edge higher unless equities experience a downturn. He warned that Bitcoin may face challenges breaking through the interim resistance at $105,000, while Ethereum could benefit more in the short term due to improving inflows and strong performance in altcoins.
Fan also highlighted a significant shift in capital allocation towards crypto, describing it as a more structural move favoring assets like emerging markets, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies to hedge against geopolitical and currency risks.
K33 Research observed that Bitcoin’s recent surge seems to be driven by spot market demand rather than excessive leverage, with retail investors and wealth managers from Asia contributing to sustaining the bullish sentiment. Nick Ruck from LVRG Research mentioned that the market slowdown may be due to caution ahead of upcoming macroeconomic data and concerns about the long-term effects of recent U.S. trade agreements.
The current market situation indicates a wait-and-see approach just below critical breakout levels, with the next significant move expected to dictate the overall market direction.
This is a daily technical analysis by our analyst and Chartered Market Technician, Omkar Godbole. Picture two major newspapers both supporting the same presidential candidate. This joint endorsement suggests that the...
Read moreThis is a daily technical analysis by our analyst and Chartered Market Technician, Omkar Godbole.
Picture two major newspapers both supporting the same presidential candidate. This joint endorsement suggests that the candidate likely has widespread backing.
In a similar vein, when the price charts for both bitcoin (BTC) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) – the largest publicly-listed BTC holder – display simultaneous bullish signals, it indicates a strong alignment between the market and major institutional players.
On the daily price charts for both BTC and MSTR, their 50-day simple moving averages (SMA) have crossed above their 100-day SMA, confirming a bullish crossover. This reveals that the short-term trend is currently surpassing the longer-term trend, potentially signaling the start of a significant bull market.
The bullish crossover in BTC is supported by other indicators like the MACD, indicating that the path of least resistance is upwards.
However, it’s important to note that a temporary drop below $100,000 cannot be discounted, as on-chain data suggests that influential market participants are exercising caution.
The chart indicates that BTC’s price rally has come to a halt within the $101,000-$107,000 range. A breakdown below this range could trigger more profit-taking, potentially leading to a deeper pullback in the bull market towards support at $98,000.
This is a daily technical analysis by our analyst and Chartered Market Technician, Omkar Godbole. Crypto bears should keep a close eye on bitcoin’s recent chart patterns, which resemble those that...
Read moreThis is a daily technical analysis by our analyst and Chartered Market Technician, Omkar Godbole.
Crypto bears should keep a close eye on bitcoin’s recent chart patterns, which resemble those that preceded the late 2024 rally from $70,000 to $109,000.
The first pattern to watch is the weekly chart’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram, which is used to identify trend changes and reversals. MACD crossovers above or below the zero line typically signal bullish or bearish shifts in momentum.
Traders should interpret these signals in context with price action. For example, a bearish crossover should be confirmed by weakening prices; otherwise, it could be a bear trap indicating underlying strength. Currently, BTC seems to be in this scenario.
The cryptocurrency initially dropped after the MACD turned negative in mid-February, but it quickly found support at the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) in March and has since bounced back above $90,000. Throughout this period, the MACD has remained below zero.
This pattern resembles last August and September when prices held the SMA support despite persistent bearish MACD signals. The indicator turned bullish around mid-October, confirming the trend and leading to a rally from $70,000 to $100,000 by December.
The second pattern to note involves the 50- and 200-day SMAs. About four weeks ago, these averages formed a bearish crossover known as the death cross, indicating a potential long-term downtrend. However, this turned out to be a bear trap as bitcoin found support around $75,000 and changed direction.
Recently, the 50-day SMA has started to rise and could soon cross above the 200-day SMA, potentially setting up a bullish golden cross in the coming weeks.
This pattern closely resembles last year’s trend: the death cross in August marked a bottom, quickly followed by a golden cross that triggered a breakout above $70,000 and eventually led to a rally above $109,000 to new highs.
In summary, bullish volatility may be on the horizon, possibly propelling bitcoin well beyond the January high of $109,000.
While chart patterns are commonly used to evaluate market strength and predict future movements, it’s essential to remember that history does not always repeat itself, and macroeconomic factors can quickly change market directions, making chart analysis less than foolproof.
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By Parrot Press Staff President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of “reciprocal tariffs” this month has caused economic trade policy uncertainty to reach an all-time high. This has led investors to shy...
Read moreBy Parrot Press Staff
President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of “reciprocal tariffs” this month has caused economic trade policy uncertainty to reach an all-time high. This has led investors to shy away from risk assets, such as bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell added fuel to the fire by stating late Wednesday that the central bank anticipates a rise in unemployment as the economy is likely to slow down and inflation is expected to increase. Powell mentioned that some of the tariffs imposed are likely to be paid by the public, further weighing on risk assets. This resulted in the Nasdaq dropping 1.17% and the S&P 500 decreasing by 2.24% before the closing bell. Despite this, bitcoin saw an increase of more than 1% in the past 24 hours. The CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index, which provides a broader market perspective, also saw a rise of 1.8%. However, the crypto market is more considered a gauge of risk rather than a safe haven, as reported by Coindesk.
According to Michael Brown, an analyst at Pepperstone, there is likely to be a growing demand for “assets which provide shelter from political incoherence and trade uncertainty,” as reported by The Telegraph. While bitcoin has outperformed the stock market, showing a 1% increase in the past month compared to the Nasdaq’s 8% drop, institutional investors are turning to gold as a safe haven investment.
Gold has seen an 11% increase over the last month and a 27% increase since the beginning of the year, reaching around $3,340 per troy ounce. A survey conducted by Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager revealed that 49% of fund managers view “long gold” as the most crowded trade on Wall Street, with 42% of them predicting it to be the best-performing asset of the year.
UBS analysts suggested that adding gold allocations has become more compelling due to the escalating tariff uncertainty, weaker growth, higher inflation, geopolitical risks, and diversification away from US assets and the US dollar, as reported by Investopedia.
Gold fund flows have reached $80 billion so far this year, while data from SoSoValue indicates that spot bitcoin ETFs have seen $5.25 billion net inflows in January, with net outflows occurring since the rise in uncertainty. In the month of April alone, over $900 million has exited these funds, following net outflows of $3.56 billion in February and $767 million in March. It is advised to stay alert in such an uncertain market environment.
In the latest Token Events updates, EigenLayer is implementing slashing on Ethereum mainnet, Pepecoin is undergoing its second halving, BNB Chain will be undergoing the opBNB mainnet hardfork, and Coinbase Derivatives will be listing XRP futures pending approval by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Various conferences and events, such as CoinDesk’s Consensus in Toronto on May 14-16, NexTech Week Tokyo, Money20/20 Asia in Bangkok, Crypto Horizons 2025 in Dubai, and many more are scheduled to take place in the upcoming days.
In other news, Raydium’s LaunchLab platform has gone live, competing with Pump.fun and introducing a perceived competing platform to the Solana ecosystem. This has led to over 1,750 tokens being created shortly after LaunchLab’s debut, driving the price of Raydium’s RAY token up by as much as 10%.
On the technical analysis front, Bitcoin has rebounded off the golden pocket zone, showing strong buyer interest. It has broken out of the daily downtrend that has been in place since February, indicating a potential shift in structure. BTC is currently sitting below the daily 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, which act as important decision points for the price direction.
Overall, the market is seeing fluctuations due to economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and trade concerns, highlighting the importance of diversification and following market trends closely.
The era of the crypto bull market appears to be coming to an end, signaling a winter of sustained losses and stagnation, as per insights from Coinbase’s institutional arm. David Duong,...
Read moreThe era of the crypto bull market appears to be coming to an end, signaling a winter of sustained losses and stagnation, as per insights from Coinbase’s institutional arm. David Duong, Coinbase Institutional’s global head of research, mentioned that the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) model indicates that Bitcoin’s recent sharp decline marks the beginning of a bear market cycle since late March. The COIN50 index, which includes the top 50 tokens by market capitalization, has also been consistently trading in bear market territory since the end of February.
Bitcoin slipped below its 200-day SMA on March 9, signaling a long-term shift to bearish momentum. Duong emphasized the challenges of defining a crypto bear market, where corrections of 20% or more are common. Contrarily, a 20% decline is typically used to characterize bear markets in traditional stock markets.
The report argued that the traditional 20% benchmark overlooks the impact of investor sentiment and portfolio adjustments triggered by smaller yet intense sell-offs. Bear markets are seen as fundamental changes in market structure, with deteriorating fundamentals and shrinking liquidity rather than just downward percentage movements.
In addition to the 200-day SMA, Duong highlighted bitcoin’s risk-adjusted performance measured in standard deviations (z-score) as an effective means of identifying crypto bear markets. The current z-score model indicates that the recent bull cycle ended in late February, categorizing subsequent activity as “neutral” and suggesting a need for a defensive risk assessment approach.
As the venture capital (VC) funding in the crypto space slows down, alternative cryptocurrencies may face a harsher winter ahead. While Bitcoin reached new highs this year, VC funding levels remain 50%-60% lower than in 2021-22, indicating a lack of enthusiasm for riskier investments.
Duong predicts that the crypto market may stabilize in mid-to-late 2Q25, paving the way for a better 3Q25.
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By [Your Name] (All times ET unless indicated otherwise) Bitcoin (BTC) continues to defy global economic uncertainty, inching closer to reclaiming $86,000. It is now less than 3% away from its...
Read moreBy [Your Name] (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to defy global economic uncertainty, inching closer to reclaiming $86,000. It is now less than 3% away from its “Liberation Day” high. To put the move into perspective, bitcoin dominance — which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market cap — is approaching 64%, a level not seen since January 2021.
In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 is still 5% away from its own Liberation Day high, underscoring bitcoin’s relative strength versus U.S. equities.
According to X account Cheddar Flow, the S&P 500 has just formed a “death cross” — a traditionally bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time this happened was March 15, 2022, when S&P 500 initially rose by 11% in the following week, only to be followed by a 20% decline. Bearish sentiment is also reflected in the options market, where investors are reportedly buying large volumes of NVDA puts, signaling expectations of lower prices.
In a Bloomberg interview on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed confidence in the U.S. bond market, dismissing concerns that foreign nations are dumping Treasuries.
“I am not seeing a dumping of U.S. Treasuries,” Bessent said. “The Treasury has lots of tools, but we’re a long way from needing them.” He also emphasized the enduring status of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, despite the DXY index — which measures the dollar’s value against a basket of major trading partners — falling below 100 and dropping over 10% in recent weeks.
Bessent also confirmed that the Trump administration is seeking a new Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell, with interviews set to begin later in the year. He concluded the interview by suggesting that the VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) may have peaked after the largest one-day percentage drop in its history last week. Stay alert!
What to Watch:
Crypto:
April 15: The first SmarDEX (SDEX) halving means the SDEX token’s distribution will be cut by 50% for the next 12 months.
April 16: HashKey Chain (HSK) mainnet upgrade enhances network stability and fee control capabilities.
April 17: EigenLayer (EIGEN) activates slashing on Ethereum mainnet, enforcing penalties for operator misconduct.
April 18: Pepecoin (PEP), a layer-1, proof-of-work blockchain, undergoes its second halving, reducing block rewards to 15,625 PEP per block.
April 20, 11 p.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — opBNB mainnet hardfork.
April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Macro:
April 15, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases March consumer price inflation data.
Core Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.7%
Core Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 2.7%
Inflation Rate MoM Est. 0.6% vs. Prev. 1.1%
Inflation Rate YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.6%
April 16, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases March retail sales data.
Retail Sales MoM Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.2%
Retail Sales YoY Prev. 3.1%
April 16, 9:45 a.m.: Bank of Canada releases its latest interest rate decision, followed by a press conference 45 minutes later.
Policy Interest Rate Est. 2.75% vs. Prev. 2.75%
April 16, 1:30 p.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will deliver an “Economic Outlook” speech. Livestream link.
April 17, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Census Bureau releases March new residential construction data.
Housing Starts Est. 1.42M vs. Prev. 1.501M
Housing Starts MoM Prev. 11.2%
April 17, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance data for the week ended April 12.
Initial Jobless Claims Est. 226K vs. Prev. 223K
April 17, 7:30 p.m.: Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications releases March consumer price index (CPI) data.
Core Inflation Rate YoY Est. 3.2% vs. Prev. 3%
Inflation Rate MoM Prev. -0.1%
Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 3.7%
Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
April 22: Tesla (TSLA), post-market
April 30: Robinhood Markets (HOOD), post-market
Token Events:
Governance votes & calls
Venus DAO is discussing the forced liquidation of the remaining debt owed by a BNB bridge exploiter account that “supplied extraneously minted BNB to Venus and generated an over-collateralized debt position.”
Aave DAO is discussing taking further steps to deprecate Synthetix’s sUSD on Aave V3 Optimism over technical developments that have “compromised its ability to consistently maintain its peg.”
GMX DAO is discussing the establishment of a GMX reserve on Solana, which would involve bridging $500,000 in GMX to the blockchain and transferring the funds to the GMX-Solana Treasury.
Treasure DAO is discussing handing the core contributor team the authority to wind down and close the Treasure Chain infrastructure on ZKsync and manage the primary MAGIC-ETH protocol-owned liquidity pool given the “crucial financial situation” of the protocol.
April 15, 10 a.m.: Injective to hold an X Spaces session with Guardian.
April 16, 7 a.m.: Aergo to host an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on the future of decentralized artificial intelligence and the project.
April 16, 3 p.m.: Zcash to host a Town Hall on LockBox Distribution & Governance.
Unlocks
April 15: Sei (SEI) to unlock 1.09% of its circulating supply worth $10.08 million.
April 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 2.01% of its circulating supply worth $27.17 million.
April 18: Official Trump (TRUMP) to unlock 20.25% of its circulating supply worth $325.97 million.
April 18: Fasttoken (FTN) to unlock 4.65% of its circulating supply worth $82.60 million.
April 18: UXLINK (UXLINK) to unlock 11.09% of its circulating supply worth $18.29 million.
April 18: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.37% of its circulating supply worth $10.07 million.
Token Launches
April 15: WalletConnect Token (WCT) to be listed on Binance, Bitget, AscendEX, BingX, BYDFi, LBank, Coinlist and others.
April 16: Badger (BADGER), Balacner (BAL), Beta Finance (BETA), Cortex (CTXC), Cream Finance (CREAM), Firo (FIRO), Kava Lend (KAVA), NULS (NULS), Prosper (PROS), Status (SNT), TROY (TROY), UniLend Finance (UFT), VIDT DAO (VIDT) and aelf (ELF) to be delisted from Binance.
April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
Conferences:
Day 2 of 3: Morocco WEB3FEST GITEX Edition (Marrakech)
April 15: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Summit (online)
Day 1 of 2: BUIDL Asia 2025 (Seoul)
Day 1 of 2: World Financial Innovation Series 2025 (Hanoi, Vietnam)
Day 1 of 3: NexTech Week Tokyo
April 22-24: Money20/20 Asia (Bangkok)
April 23: Crypto Horizons 2025 (Dubai)
April 23-24: Blockchain Forum 2025 (Moscow)
Token Talk
Story Protocol’s IP tokens experienced a 20% drop and recovery within hours during an unusual trading session on Monday.
Trading volume surged on exchanges including Binance and OKX Spot, with $138 million recorded after the price rebound.
The sudden price movement was isolated from broader market trends, sparking speculation about insider activity or coordinated selling.
Also on Monday, MANTRA’s OM token plummeted over 90% in hours, dropping from around $6.30 to as low as 37 cents and wiping out over $5 billion in market capitalization.
The token has since rebounded slightly to trade around 63 cents.
Laser Digital, a Nomura-backed investor, was initially flagged for depositing $41 million in OM to OKX, but the company denied selling, clarifying it was collateral return from a financing trade. Shorooq Investors also denied selling.
Derivatives Positioning
BTC shorts have been liquidated on most exchanges in the past 24 hours, excluding BitMEX and Gate.io, according to Coinglass. The opposite is the case in ETH.
XRP’s perpetual futures open interest has dropped from 544.7 million XRP to 480 million XRP, diverging from the price recovery seen since Monday last week.
SUI, ONDO, ADA and APT have seen a notable increase in futures open interest in the past 24 hours. Of those, XMR is the only one with the positive OI-adjusted cumulative volume delta, representing net buying pressure.
On Deribit, short-dated BTC and ETH options continue to show a bias for protective puts, suggesting cautious sentiment.
Flows on OTC desk Paradigm have been mixed with both calls and puts bought in the April expiry.
Market Movements:
BTC is up 1.19% from 4 p.m. ET Monday at $85,877.18 (24hrs: +1.35%)
ETH is up 0.59% at $1,645.30 (24hrs: -1.97%)
CoinDesk 20 is up 0.99% at 2,519.69 (24hrs: +0.19%)
Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 18 bps at 3.18%
BTC funding rate is at 0.0184% (6.7003% annualized) on Binance
DXY is unchanged at 99.70
Gold is up 1.26% at $3,245.30/oz
Silver is up 0.81% at $32.35/oz
Nikkei 225 closed +0.84% at 34,267.54
Hang Seng closed +0.23% at 21,466.27
FTSE is up 0.92% at 8,209.04
Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.82% at 4,951.51
DJIA closed on Tuesday +0.78% at 40,524.79
S&P 500 closed +0.79% at 5,405.97
Nasdaq closed +0.64% at 16,831.48
S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +1.18% at 23,866.50
S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.8% at 2,340.02
U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is up 1 bp at 4.39%
E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.12% at 5,447.25
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.26% at 18,983.25
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are unchanged at 40,750.00
Bitcoin Stats:
BTC Dominance: 63.80 (0.16%)
Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.01913 (-0.31%)
Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 896 EH/s
Hashprice (spot): $44.1 PH/s
Total Fees: 6.33 BTC / $536,017
CME Futures Open Interest: 134,730
BTC priced in gold: 26.6 oz
BTC vs gold market cap: 7.56%
Technical Analysis
On Monday, the bitcoin cash-bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio failed to penetrate the trendline characterizing the 12-month bear market.
A potential move above the trendline could see breakout traders join the market, lifting BCH higher.
Crypto Equities
Strategy (MSTR): closed on Monday at $311.45 (+3.82%), up 0.62% at $313.38 in pre-market
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $176.58 (+0.62%), up 1.28% at $178.84
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.81 (+3.47%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.95 (+3.52%), up 1.24% at $13.11
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.01 (-0.71%), up 0.71% at $7.06
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $7.06 (-0.14%)
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.78 (+3.73%), up 1.29% at $7.88
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.70 (+1.44%), up 1.44% at $12.90
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $34.26 (+1.48%)
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $39.43 (-10.55%), unchanged in pre-market
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
Daily net flow: $1.5 million
Cumulative net flows: $35.46 billion
Total BTC holdings ~1.11 million
Spot ETH ETFs
Daily net flow: -$6 million
Cumulative net flows: $2.28 billion
Total ETH holdings ~3.36 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day Personalized: Disney’s Bob Iger to exit Apple’s board
In the Ether
**Insert interesting content about current events, stories, etc. in the crypto world**
That’s all for now, stay in-the-know with The Parrot Press for the latest updates and insights on the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies and finance!
